Afternoon folks!!
Let's piss off scientists today! This sentence caught my eye a few hours ago in reference to the Farmers Almanac that has been published since 1818 and soon celebrating 200 years of predicting the weather and getting it right!
"Modern scientists don't put much stock in sunspots or tidal action, but the almanac says its forecasts used by readers to plan weddings and plant gardens are correct about 80 percent of the time."
I don't know about you but if the National Weather Service gets 50% right it would be a vast improvement. See in the 1980's they wrote some kind of new weather program and ever since then they have gotten the weather wrong more often than getting it right. For years I joked and said' "They must have put the floppy in upside down" because they were always so wrong. 100% chance of rain means no rain and 0% means it's gonna rain. They predict the weather 10 days out and can't get it right 10 HOURS and sometimes 10 MINUTES out.
Yes, this has been a pet peeve of mine for years and today I found a story that illustrates my point.
So the "Modern Scientist" basically looks down their snout at the Farmers Almanac regardless of the fact that the Almanac is right 80% of the time and the modern genius scientist has a hard time making it to 50% and from my experience, closer to 33%. How does that work? Superiority without a superior result?!
G-D Save us from ourselves. lol. Progress is great until it no longer works.
How close does the National Weather Service by you predict the weather? Do they influence your weekend plans just to find out they were wrong?
I know many business owners at beaches that get mighty pissed when they predict rain for the weekend 3 days in advance and all you have is sunshine. It costs many businesses a lot of money when they are wrong.
Rick Schwartz
Mike Searles (@WebcastWords)
Weekend plans? Life plans!
Our own Weather Bureau are scientists hell-bent on brainwashing us on Climate Change Armageddon.
Get this one! The Australian government advisor on Climate Change (and weather bureau love-child) Tim Flannery warned Australia in drought a few years ago ‘we may never see drought-ending rain again’.
Two years later guess what — drought ending rains nationwide.
Schmucks? Ummmm… yep.
Mike Wyman
Regarding the previous poster’s comments, weather and climate are separate studies and not directly correlated. The historical datasets which fully support the hypothesis of anthropogenic warming are available for download at nasa.gov. There are also an extensive number of peer reviewed papers available on the web with data collected from independent and national bodies around the world. For the layman, I would suggest starting your research with a primer like the one at http://climate.nasa.gov/
Josh
I was born in 1975. Time magazine’s cover story that year quoted all the experts (all peer reviewed, of course) saying we were going to die of global cooling. And then in the 80s global warming was going to destroy us. Now it’s “climate change” and apparently, if you pay taxes on the exhaust you emit, that helps (somehow).
Yeah, the climate changes. Heard of the ice age?
Weather prediction isn’t very good, weather it’s day to day, or century to century. :)
Neil
Planning the weather is like registering a domain without traffic.
Kind regards,
schmackx.com
schmackz.com